Showing posts with label market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label market. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Counter-Productive?

From The Big Picture:
One of themes we've looked at over the years is the spin that some trade groups put out on top of their data releases. Some Trade Associations, like the ATA tonnage index, or the Home Builders Index, simply put out the straight dope -- an unvarnished, unblinking look at their industries, so their members can better make informed business decisions with the available data.
Other groups massage the data, spin the message, and try to present their info in the most positive light -- regardless of the underlying data. They seem to believe that if only the public believes things are okay, it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Well knock me over with feather. Who'da thunk it?

H/T Insty, who has more.

Monday, March 24, 2008

At The Tipping Point?

A little good news from the National Association of Realtors:


Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (1) of 5.03 million units in February from a pace of 4.89 million in January, but remain 23.8 percent below the 6.60 million-unit level in February 2007.

Of course, one positive month does not make a trend, but are buyers ready to place their bets on an upswing?

The market was way past due for a correction, and we got that in spades. Unfortunately, while the prices have come down, buyers have gotten cold feet and even colder credit. The national mortgage crisis has dampened any rush on lower prices due to tightened credit, and sellers who can't get out from under their inflating payments are still succumbing to foreclosure. It will take some time for average buyers to feel confident enough to put their cash and credit on the line.

Further in the article, we find what region is dragging the national numbers down. It's the West of course. Yikes!

Existing-home sales in the West slipped 1.1 percent to an annual rate of 920,000 in February, and are 29.2 percent below a year ago. The median price in the West was $290,400, down 13.4 percent from February 2007.



If we have positive sales figures for March, I may become convinced that the we have seen the bottom of the recent market, and the only place to go is up. Regardless, if you have the resources to buy, now is a good time,especially if you plan on holding on to the property for a while. If you're someone who likes to flip houses and get a quick profit, good luck with that. I'll see you at auction. If you want to buy now while prices are low and hold on to it for a few years, then, well, I'll be happy to be your Broker down the road.

UPDATE: For a little old-fashioned optimism, head on over to Sacramento Land (ing). Sure to add a bit of cheer to your day.

Thursday, March 20, 2008

February Stats for the Optimist

The Sacramento area housing market continues to struggle. Here is some selected home sales stats in several different parts of town from DataQuick for February '08:

Elk Grove 95624
Homes Sold: 58 Median Price: $299,750 %Change from '07: -26.8% Highest Price: $925,000


Folsom 95630
Homes Sold: 48 Median Price: $420,000 %Change from '07: -8.6% Highest Price: $635,000


Sacramento 95818
Homes Sold: 27 Median Price: $404,000 %Change from '07: -19.0% Highest price: $899,000



Sacramento 95822
Homes Sold: 44 Median Price: $179,250 %Change from '07: -34.8% Highest Price: $595,000



Sacramento 95834
Homes Sold: 10 Median Price: $280,000 %Change from '07: -27.7% Highest Price: $725,000



West Sacramento 95691
Homes Sold: 25 Median Price: $306,000 %Change from '07: -16.8% Highest Price: $470,000


Pretty grim isn't it? Unless your in the market to buy right now. We'll soon know if we'll see our usual Spring upswing or a continued downward spiral. Regardless of whether we've seen the bottom of the market or not, this downturn was needed to bring prices back down to affordable levels. Unfortunately, now credit is much harder to come buy.

But for some sellers in Placer County, here's a bit of good news:

Granite Bay 95746
Homes Sold: 11 Median Price: $735,000 %Change from '07: 8.8% Highest Price: $1,125,000